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Joined 2 年前
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Cake day: 2023年6月11日

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  • I agree, I’m sure those kind of manipulations happen all the time. Some are intentionally inflating the price and sometimes investors/fund managers have just drank the Kool-aid and are investing in ways that don’t make sense given the fundamentals. So yeah, stock prices can become completely unmoored from fundamentals because these days the money is in buying and selling, not dividends. In fact, I’d guess that stock prices are unmoored from fundamentals more often than not — when they’re high they’re too high and when they’re low they’re too low due to investor sentiment. But I remain somewhat confident that over the very long term (meaning decades) stock prices have some correlation to fundamentals, so they can’t remain artificially inflated forever. Sooner or later someone will make a killing popping the bubble.


  • Stock prices are set by what people think stocks are worth. Buying a stock is a bet that it will become more valuable in the future (and/or pay dividends). Even with the rise of algorithmic trading, those algorithms are betting the stocks are will rise in value. In theory the cost should be related to the fundamentals of the stock like the company’s revenue, but in practice they are also set by investor’s opinions about the stock’s future price.

    So what causes stocks to go down is people thinking that stocks will go down, and selling before they lose any more money.

    In the case of the AI stock bubble, it’s hard to know what will cause investors to say “this stock is likely to drop on value, or at least not grow as quickly as other investments I could make.” The fact that most AI companies are burning cash and not getting much revenue out of it hasn’t dampened the excitement yet, so I guess investors still believe there’s a way forward that will result in more revenue. Or at least they believe the hype cycle isn’t coming to an end so they’re holding on while the prices go up and hope to sell before their holdings lose too much value. It won’t pop until something deflates the expectations of enough investors to start a sell-off. What’s that going to be? Who knows. It might just be a herd mentality thing where a few people begin to sell and more people follow suit.













  • actually did find partners who loved them for their authentic selves, and most people have figured this out and I desperately need to touch grass.

    This was my experience. I don’t think I’ve ever dated a woman who wanted extremely traditional gender roles. As far as I could tell they mostly wanted equal partnerships like you are describing. And after 12 years of marriage I can tell you my wife and I definitely don’t fall into stereotypical roles.

    I did date one woman for a year and a half who had some traditional tendencies, but only some. She did not want a breadwinner to support her and did not mind men showing emotion. On the other hand, she definitely subscribed it to the idea that men are dumb pigs who need to be managed by their wives, and she seemed to think it was normal for a marriage to be a constant low-grade “battle of the sexes” — she kept telling me these stories about her parents’ conflicts that she thought were cute but I thought were kind of horrifying. I broke up with her for a few reasons but that was definitely one of them. But my point is everyone is an individual and she had some traditional tendencies and some not traditional tendencies. Also I got to know her and had fun dating and then eventually broke up because I didn’t think we were a good match. It was fine, and I learned a lot about myself along the way.

    Now, if you’re on your guard all the time worrying that a woman wants traditional gender roles I bet you can find reasons to support that hypothesis. So don’t go looking for it. Instead, go on some dates and just get to know the other person as a person.

    Those people who tell you all women want a certain thing are wrong. They might be coming from a particular subculture where it’s true, and if you are constantly meeting women who only want traditional gender roles then maybe you need to look at who you’re asking out and how you are meeting them. Some of the people who are telling you these stories are knowingly lying because saying “everything sucks and you can pay me for a solution” is a very profitable venture. Other people wish traditional gender roles were the norm and so they’re sort of LARPing it online.

    Also, remember that going on a couple of dates is not a lifelong commitment. You’re getting to know each other. Have fun with it. If you don’t like her once you get to know her better, move on. The more you go on dates the easier it gets. Go touch some grass and go touch some ass (consensually).