What the title says. I think there is still a long way for that to happen but i’ve been hopeful. What do you think?

    • dogebread@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      8
      ·
      3 years ago

      Another big obstacle is the general UX of these platforms. Major companies have teams of user experience analysis and researchers that, while not always “winning” as compared to product or business driven decisions, absolutely have a (generally positive) impact on the product. Onboarding, retention, etc.

      The fediverse has all the standard frictions of most OSS, like talking about itself, it’s technology, etc when the fact is 99% of users dgaf.

      I might go so far as to argue the perceived complexity is a bigger barrier than the risk of sabotage from other businesses. I am optimistic the growing list of third party apps will help solve some of these issues, as long as they take things like the sign up process and server selection into their scope.

      • kurosawaa@programming.dev
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        3 years ago

        I don’t think UX will be that big of a problem, in the past the unofficial reddit apps were all better than the official one. Major companies design by committee and the UX is meant too maximize profit and engagement statistics for advertising, rather than be “good”. A lot of open source UIs are better than their paid counterparts. I think PopOS is far nicer than windows 11.

      • DoctorTYVM@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        0
        ·
        3 years ago

        That and the servers are under such stress that it makes for a stuttery beginning for any new usrrs. Even just trying to upvote you and comment was a process. First this page wouldn’t load properly, then then the upvote didn’t show, then the screen jumped around when I tried to reply.

        This site and any other will only replace Reddit etc if it’s got people. It only gets people if new users can use the platform. We’re not quite there yet. The people here now are willing to put up with growing pains but if it doesn’t improve soon people will move on

        • rockhandle@lemm.ee
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          3 years ago

          The problem is that everyone has consolidated on one gargantuan server. The whole point of the fediverse is to spread out so no one server is carrying the entire load. I’m currently using lemm.ee and have experienced none of the issues being discussed here.

          But yes, I agree that it could be a potential turn off for newcomers.

          • danielton@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            3 years ago

            At the time of this writing, I have accounts on two servers. One on the big server, and one on a tiny server.

            Obviously, the gargantuan server’s biggest issue is performance. That will probably improve with time, but with its size comes some noticeable benefits, which I will touch on shortly.

            The tiny server, which I actually joined first, is blazing fast, but I’ve run into constant issues trying to find communities and posts that the bigger server can find no problem. Initiating a federation request is not intuitive at all, and your average user is going to wonder why the hell so much stuff isn’t showing up when they click All on a smaller server.

            I tried manually copying my subscription list from the gargantuan server to the tiny one. It was quite a chore, even though it got better in 0.18. Most of the communities returned a “not found” error. Having to retry a search several times or manually input the URL and reload the page several times until the server can find the community on the remote server is not something the average user is going to want to deal with, so they’ll end up on the huge servers that already know about the communities on the other large servers, if they don’t give up.

            Hopefully this gets better, but that’s my best guess as to why everybody ended up on the gargantuan servers.

        • jrbaconcheese@vlemmy.net
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          0
          ·
          3 years ago

          Create an account off of lemmy.world and see if you have the same issues. A smaller instance can handle things easier. It have 2 but use the one that was most up-to-date and responsive.

          • DoctorTYVM@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            0
            ·
            3 years ago

            See that’s part of the problem. You shouldnt need to have to create a bunch of accounts just to use a site. People aren’t going to stick around to find time their social media. They want it to just work.

            • insomniac@vlemmy.net
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              0
              ·
              3 years ago

              We’re still very early on. It’s not going to be a digg to Reddit style thing. But Reddit will keep making bad decisions and people will trickle over here over time and with each influx, things will have improved. I’ve been here a couple weeks and it seems like every day it gets better.

              Also, the technical barriers aren’t as scary to people make it out to be. Yeah we won’t get all the boomers, which is very sad. But I’ve got some very tech illiterate friends who have started using memmy with no problems.

              And do we even want to get as big as Reddit? Reddit was great 15 years ago. Then teenagers got smart phones and the olds spread out past Facebook and it’s been on decline ever since. I’d be perfectly happy if it got to like 20% the size of Reddit. Maybe not even that big.

              • floofloof@lemmy.ca
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                1
                ·
                3 years ago

                Yeah we won’t get all the boomers, which is very sad.

                I hope boomer is a state of mind, because otherwise you might be disappointed to learn how old some of us are.

    • Kit Sorens@lemmy.dbzer0.com
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      0
      ·
      3 years ago

      And do what? Make a better product? The beauty of Capitalism is that consumers really are the final say on whether your product succeeds. You can make an app with as many addictive hooks as possible, but that doesn’t make those users permanent. And any sabbotage by Reddit will only dig in our heels at this point.

      • MrTulip@lemmy.dbzer0.com
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        3 years ago

        If the fediverse starts gaining traction, you can bet the mega-corps will use every dirty trick they have to co-opt it or, if that fails, undermine it.

  • TALD@lemmy.fmhy.ml
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    3 years ago

    I don’t think you need to have the largest following to have great value, even lemmy as it is right now feels great. I’ll actually want to dive into comment sections compared to the endless scrolling on reddit.

    As long as there’s enough people using a platform for a variety of ideas and experience in topics, I think that’s good enough for me.

  • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    3 years ago

    Not everyone who left Digg went to reddit, and not everyone who left Myspace went to Facebook. “Replacing” reddit should never be the goal, it should be “be better than reddit”.

    If this is ever to go mainstream, what we should be concerned about is making good, high quality original content. If people see us having fun and being nice here, they’ll want to join in too.

  • SkyNTP@lemmy.ml
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    3
    ·
    3 years ago

    Being on the internet used to be not cool.

    Email and www. … .com was as foreign to the mainstream as the Fediverse is to the mainstream today.

    The nerds build cool shit, the corporations chase the hot new thing to milk every last dollar out of the mainstream who want the cool new toys, and the mainstream inevitably ruins the cool new toy because they don’t understand how or why it was made in the first place.

    This is the way of human nature. It has played out on the internet since the start (and probably well before that) and it will probably play out again on the fefiverse (just look at Meta).

  • Tyr3al@feddit.de
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    3 years ago

    I don’t really think that Lemmy or Mastodon will really replace their counterparts. At least not for now. As many have already said, the federation system is too complex for many non-technical people. It would take something like a de facto standard app, that abstracts everything federation related away and make it feel like another centralised solution.

    Another point for me is the searchability of federated systems. Say you are searching for a technical problem right now, google will surely bring you to a related subreddit in just seconds. I have yet to see a Lemmy related search result.

    • AdmiralShat@programming.dev
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      3 years ago

      I have actually started finding results for things on programming.dev on Google.

      It’s less obvious because it doesn’t say lemmy, but I imagine this will be more common as more content is posted here.

      Also, the technical issues involving new users is temporary. It may take awhile, but the user experience will gradually get better as time moves on.

      • Tyr3al@feddit.de
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        3 years ago

        I have actually started finding results for things on programming.dev on Google.

        That’s good news!

      • sgtlighttree@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        3 years ago

        I have actually started finding results for things on programming.dev on Google.

        What was your search query, did you specifically call for a lemmy result or was programming.dev organically shown?

  • DannyMac@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    3 years ago

    I’m hoping it won’t. I’ve had discussions with my friends from the earlier days of the Internet. The Internet was a much nicer place when you didn’t have everyone and their grandma on it. You actually had to be tech literate to use it. This resulted in higher quality interactions and content. You still had undesirable groups and places, but they were sectioned off to their own corner. Now, social media and its algorithms give everyone a soapbox. I’d rather they stay off my fediverse lawn.

  • Oka@lemmy.ml
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    3 years ago

    I think the idea of a federation: websites being able to talk to each other, could be mainstream. I don’t think lemmy will be mainstream, but I do think lemmy will be able to talk to mainstream websites on the federation.

    What if you could use your lemmy account to buy stuff online, book a flight, pay bills, sign up for streaming services, etc.? The federation isn’t seeing its full potential.

    • Aesorian@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      edit-2
      3 years ago

      I think this is the answer.

      Lemmy and (maybe) Mastodon (I don’t know enough about it) will be the inspiration for something that goes mainstream - but I do think that they’ll be the Myspace to the next big things Facebook - Perfect for people who know how to take advantage of it and it will be a mild success because of it; but someone will come along, streamline and spruce it up and that will be the new standard

  • utg@mander.xyz
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    3 years ago

    Yes, but not in the way you’d think.

    I think lemmy won’t be easy enough to use for a vast majority of users, they’ll stick to the traditional platforms.

    However, I think if the hype continues for a while, and the little kinks are ironed out soon enough, it will give rise to a new, different kind of platform.

    People have this idea that lemmy will replace reddit and just become Reddit 2.0. I think lemmy is still a place similar to a phoenix burning. The new bird has yet to take it’s first breath, and it’ll be quiet different from what we imagine or what we are used to today

  • Vipsu@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    3 years ago

    I think there’s good chance for Lemmy and mastodon to become mainstream but I don’t they can replace their centralized counterparts. Mainly because I think that the social media in its current form is changing.

    While platforms like Reddit, Twitter, Facebook and Tiktok are likely not going anywhere for a while, each time these platforms break the trust of their users the more cracks start to form to the service that leak out users. Some of these users will look for something new, some of these users will look for alternate services, some of these users will create their own services.

    Many of these platforms rely on the attention economy, so all it really takes to make these platforms struggle is to divide that attention more and more to competitive platforms and services. This fragmentation has been happening for years now with people dividing their attention between multiple services like reddit, twitter, discord, facebook, tiktok, snapchat and whatnot. Now creating similar service for smaller audience is easier than ever and with A.I tools it’ll probably get even more easier.

    Its a bit similar to video games and live services, with competition for players attention getting more fierce by the day.

  • s4if@lemmy.my.id
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    3 years ago

    It has potential, bu I hope it will not become like those mainstream soc-med…
    Fediverse is like a village where each denizen trying to self-sufficent and helping each others while mainstream soc-med is like train station or mall where users just come and go while giving money to its owner for their services…
    We may need one or two mainstream soc-med to be alive to keep up with news or to socialize with normies, but we also need a place to retreat like current fediverse.
    edit:typo

  • QubaXR@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    3 years ago

    Yes I do. What I am looking for is federated/web3 replacements for Instagram, and some kind of well encrypted, decentralized messenger app

    • astropenguin5@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      3 years ago

      Signal is well encrypted and very much respects privacy of data, but I don’t think it’s federated. It can interface with normal texts though iirc

  • t0fr@lemmy.ca
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    3 years ago

    Personally seems like an almost insurmountable hill to become popular and mainstream. It’s not that I don’t think it’s possible, I just don’t think that there is a significant push for it to do so. There’s no corporate advertising to help push it.

    Is that a problem though? Does it need to become popular and mainstream?